Burglars vs. Burst Pipes: Here's What Your Should Really Worry About

It's a Sunday afternoon in November, and you're heading back to the city. You lock up your cabin, double-checking the deadbolts and setting your fancy alarm system, convinced that burglars are the biggest threat while you’re away. Cabin owners often fixate on break-ins – after all, a residential break-in happens roughly every 90 seconds in Canada.
But here’s the truth: the silent villain lurking in your empty cottage isn’t a thief at all – it’s Old Man Winter and a failing furnace. When the heat cuts out and temperatures plummet, your pipes can freeze and burst, causing far more damage (and costs) than any burglar could. In fact, water damage from frozen pipes is much more common and costly than theft, yet it’s often underestimated.
We've crunched the numbers to compare break-ins vs. freeze-related disasters, and show why unattended mechanical failures – like a furnace fizzling out – should top your worry list. We’ll also discuss how remote monitoring tools can help you catch problems early - something security cameras can't!
The Costly Reality: Break-In vs. Burst Pipe by the Numbers
Most cabin owners' biggest fear is finding a shattered window and missing valuables – and yes, theft can hurt. But let’s look at actual numbers for losses from burglary versus freeze-induced water damage:
Average Loss from a Break-In
The average burglary in Canada yields a claim of around $7,000 in stolen property. Even high-end theft claims (e.g. jewelry or electronics) tend to be in the low five-figures at most - and chances are you don't usually keep these sorts of things at the cabin. Thieves usually take replaceable items – TVs, tools, maybe some liquor.
Average Damage from Burst Pipes
A single burst pipe in a cabin can unleash tens of thousands of dollars in destruction. Insurance data shows the average burst pipe incident costs about $16,000 to repair. That’s just the average – imagine soaked flooring, warped walls, mold remediation, and ruined furniture. It’s not uncommon for extensive freeze damage to climb above $20,000 once all the repairs are done.
Frequency of Claims
Theft claims are actually rarer than you’d think – only about 7–8% of home insurance claims are due to stolen property. Water damage, on the other hand, is by far the leading cause of home insurance claims in Canada, making up nearly 50% of claims in some analyses. In other words, water-related issues (like burst pipes) are vastly more likely than break-ins.
Insurance Impact
Both types of incidents are usually covered by insurance, but multiple water damage claims can hike your premiums more than an isolated theft claim. (Insurers have been raising alarms because water damage claim costs have soared ~160% over the past 20 years!) Plus, if your furnace failure happened while you were away for an extended time without precautions, you could even risk claim denial under some policies’ fine print.
While a burglar might swipe a few thousand dollars’ worth of stuff, a burst pipe can gut your savings and your cabin’s interior in one go. The average frozen-pipe water claim is easily 2×–3× the cost of the average theft claim. And because water can keep flowing, the damage often compounds over days, while a thief usually only strikes once and leaves.
How Furnace Failure Turns Into a Flooded Cabin
Why are we picking on the furnace? Because it’s your cabin’s first line of defense against winter. Here’s the nightmare scenario every seasonal cabin owner should consider:
Deep Freeze + No Heat = Disaster
Canadian winters are no joke – subzero temperatures can freeze a pipe solid in hours. Your furnace (or boiler/heating system) normally keeps indoor temps safely above freezing. But if the furnace fails or the power goes out when you’re not there, the temperature inside can plummet fast. Once it drops below 0 °C, any water sitting in pipes can freeze. Ice expands and puts immense pressure on pipes. The result? Pipes crack or burst open.
Burst Pipes = Water Everywhere
The real chaos often happens when the temperature rises or the power returns. That ice blockage melts or water pressure resumes, and now there’s a broken pipe spewing water. If a supply line burst, it can flood the cabin’s interior in no time. Think about hundreds of gallons of water gushing over floors and through walls. In a multi-level cottage, water might pour from an upstairs bathroom down to the main floor and basement – soaking everything in between.
Unattended = Unmitigated
During summer, if a break-in occurs, a neighbor or passerby might notice a kicked-in door or alarm and call it in. But a furnace failure in February? No obvious sirens or broken glass – just quietly growing ice inside your walls. If you’re not actively monitoring the place, you won’t discover the freeze and flood until you next visit (which could be weeks or even months later). By then, the damage is long done – warped wood, black mold creeping, critters attracted to the wet mess, you name it.
Far-Reaching Damage
Burst pipes don’t just ruin the plumbing. Water can destroy carpets, hardwood, drywall, insulation, and personal items. It can short out electrical systems. In a cruel twist, water can even attract thieves – a clearly damaged, unoccupied cabin might be an easier target for opportunistic intruders. So neglecting the furnace could indirectly invite the very break-in you feared, on top of water damage!
Consider this chilling example: In a cold snap, one Canadian insurer saw burst-pipe claims spike nearly 191% in early 2024. It happens all the time when temperatures dive. Plumbers from Manitoba to Muskoka often say “it happens every season” – cabins or homes left empty in the cold can fall victim each winter. The risk is not if but when, unless you take action.
Why The Dollar Damage Is So High
Why does water damage cost so much more than a break-in? A few reasons:
- Structural Repairs: Fixing a kicked-in door or broken window from a burglary might cost a few hundred dollars. In contrast, water from a burst pipe can compromise drywall, subfloors, and even foundations. Repairing a water-logged structure often means tearing out and replacing large sections of the cabin’s interior.
- Mold and Remediation: If water sits unnoticed, mold can set in within 24-48 hours. By the time you catch it, you may need professional mold remediation which is very pricey (thousands of dollars and lots of tear-out). Thieves don’t usually leave toxic fungus behind – burst pipes do.
- Labour and Time: Drying out a soaked building is an involved process – industrial fans, dehumidifiers, and weeks of work. Contractors might need to remove insulation, sanitize surfaces, and ensure everything is safe. Compare that to calling a locksmith or replacing a TV.
- Replacing Home Systems: In severe freeze-ups, not just one pipe, but entire plumbing networks might need replacing if multiple segments cracked. Your furnace or boiler itself might be damaged if it ran dry or overheated before failing. It’s not unheard of for a big freeze incident to involve HVAC, plumbing, and electrical repairs all at once. The bills add up quickly.
It’s clear that preventing these icy catastrophes is key. The good news? With a bit of planning (and technology), you can dramatically cut the risk.

Prevention: A Few Hundred Bucks vs. a $16,000 Bill
An ounce of prevention is worth a pound (or several thousands of dollars) of cure. Smart cabin owners are shifting their focus from just deterring burglars to also preempting freeze damage. Here are some cost-effective precautions:
- Regular Furnace Maintenance: Your heating system shouldn’t fail out of the blue. Annual servicing can catch issues early. The average furnace repair costs only about $300 (often in the $150–$500 range for common fixes) - a trivial expense next to five-figure water damage. Replacing an old thermostat or a worn furnace part before it breaks could literally save your cabin.
- Winterizing If You Shut Down Heat: If you don’t plan to heat the place all winter, drain the water lines and put antifreeze in traps and toilets. No water in pipes = nothing to freeze. Many insurance policies in Canada actually require this if a home is unheated for 4+ days in winter. It’s a bit of effort each fall, but it can prevent a disaster.
- Have a Trusted Neighbour or Caretaker: Just as you might ask someone to check for signs of break-in, ask them to peek at the thermostat or heat regularly in deep winter. If the house feels cold or the thermostat reads low, they can alert you before things freeze. (And yes, offer to return the favour or pay them – it’s worth it!)
- Remote Monitoring & Freeze Alarms: Technology to the rescue – install a low-temperature alarm or remote monitoring system that notifies you if cabin temps drop dangerously. Many cabins lack Wi-Fi - and it stops working during power outages anyway; fortunately solutions like CabinPulse use cellular networks to keep you informed. For example, CabinPulse can send instant alerts to your phone if indoor temperature falls below a set point or if there’s a power outage at your cabin. That early warning can give you precious hours to act – maybe you (or a handyman) can get the heat back on before pipes freeze solid.
By comparison, what can you do to prevent break-ins? Install decent locks, maybe an alarm or cellular camera, and avoid leaving expensive items visible. Those are wise moves, but realistically many remote cabins will always be somewhat vulnerable to a determined intruder. The key point is that while you absolutely should secure your property, don’t neglect safeguards against the much more probable threat of freeze damage.

CabinPulse: Keeping an Eye on What Matters
Security cameras might catch a burglar on tape, but they can’t alert you that your furnace just died during a blizzard. This is where CabinPulse comes in. CabinPulse provides an all-in-one remote property monitoring solution – and it’s tailor-made for Canadian cabins that often lack Wi-Fi. Here’s how it helps you sleep easier when you’re away:
- 24/7 Temperature and Power Monitoring: CabinPulse tracks your cabin’s indoor temperature and power status in real time. If the heat goes out and temps start dropping, you get an immediate alert; you can even add a neighbour to the alerts list so they'll get one too. Early warning means you can dispatch someone to fix the furnace or switch on a backup heat source before things freeze. It’s like having a thermostat that calls for help when it’s in trouble.

- No Wi-Fi Needed: Many cottages don't have Wi-Fi, or shut down internet in the off-season. For cabins with year-round Wi-Fi - it stops working during power outages anyways, meaning any device that relies on it won't be able to send you an alert. CabinPulse uses built-in cellular (with nationwide coverage) to stay connected. Even during a power outage, it has battery backup to keep sending alerts. So unlike a Wi-Fi camera that goes dark when the router dies, CabinPulse keeps you informed when it matters most.
- Humidity and Leak Detection: Aside from cold, the system watches humidity (for mold prevention) and can even listen for smoke alarms. It’s a holistic “cabin guardian.” While your security alarm might tell you about a break-in, CabinPulse is more like a digital caretaker, warning you about the slow-burn issues like moisture, air quality, or potential fire – the kind of problems that really rack up costs if unnoticed.
- Insights and Peace of Mind: As a platform, CabinPulse doesn’t just alarm you; it also logs data. You can check if your cabin’s temperature has been steady, what the highs and lows were, and know for sure that everything is okay (or not). Many users say this beats the constant worry and “what if” scenarios running in your mind. In short, it provides peace of mind on your phone.

And if you’re wondering, “What about burglars?”, remember: CabinPulse can indirectly help with that too. For instance, if a thief breaks a window, the temperature will drop and you'll get an alert. It’s not a security system per se, but a comprehensive monitoring tool that covers the gaps traditional alarms miss.
Stop the Real Cabin Catastrophe – Take Action Now
It’s time to rethink your cabin protection strategy. Yes, lock the doors and close the blinds when you leave, but also ask yourself: Am I protected against the far more expensive threat of frozen pipes and water damage? The statistics don’t lie – Canadian insurers pay out astronomically more for water damage than for theft, and a burst pipe could cost you double, triple, even 10 times what a burglar might steal. The true “break-in” to fear is when ice breaks into your plumbing.
The good news is you can drastically reduce this risk. Make sure your furnace is in good shape, winterize properly, and consider investing in a remote monitoring solution to be your eyes and ears on the property. Catching a furnace failure early or getting a heads-up about a temperature drop can be the difference between a minor hiccup and a $16,000 fiasco.
Don’t let an unattended cabin turn into a winter water park. Thieves might never pay your cottage a visit, but Jack Frost definitely will – so be ready for him. With data on your side and smart tools watching your back, you can enjoy peace of mind during those weeks away. Protect your investment by focusing on the threat that actually keeps insurers up at night.
In the end, a little vigilance (and modern tech backup) will ensure your cabin is just as cozy and intact when you return in spring as it was when you left. Keep the burglars out, sure – but keep the heat on! And if you need a helping hand, CabinPulse is here to help you watch over your cabin from anywhere, ensuring that a furnace glitch or cold snap won’t catch you by surprise.
Stay warm, stay safe, and let the only ice at your cabin be the cubes in your summer drink – not a glacier in the basement.
Ready to stop worrying and start truly protecting your cabin? Get CabinPulse today and get real-time alerts and insights for your property. Don’t wait for the thaw to find out what went wrong – know now and prevent the worst. Your cabin (and your wallet) will thank you later.